Ayeni Taiwo
Michael

M.S. Student, Applied Statistics (Biostatistics)  ·  Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA

My research develops statistical and biostatistical methodologies for survival analysis and lifetime data modeling, with a focus on improving inference for biomedical data arising in small-sample and complex settings. It integrates flexible probability distributions, empirical likelihood methods, Bayesian inference, and Profiled and Plug-in Residual Empirical Likelihood (PROEL) approaches for censored and time-to-event data, with applications in biomedical research, public health, and reliability studies.

Biostatistics Survival Analysis Empirical Likelihood Bayesian Inference Statistical Methodology Statistical Methodology
Ayeni Taiwo Michael

About Me

I am a Master's student in Applied Statistics with a concentration in Biostatistics at Georgia State University, where I conduct research under the supervision of Prof. Yichuan Zhao. My research focuses on developing statistical and biostatistical methodologies for survival analysis and lifetime data modeling, with particular emphasis on improving inference for biomedical data arising in small-sample and complex settings.

My current research follows a five-stage methodological programme. It began with the development of the Quadratic-Transformed Exponential-Gamma (QTEG) distribution for flexible lifetime modeling, followed by the development of empirical likelihood methods for likelihood-free inference. This work subsequently led to empirical likelihood-based goodness-of-fit procedures for model validation and Bayesian methodologies for flexible lifetime models. More recently, my research has expanded to semiparametric survival analysis through the development of Profiled and Plug-in Residual Empirical Likelihood (PROEL) methods for quantile difference estimation, confidence intervals, and confidence bands under stratified Cox models.

I hold a Master of Professional Studies in Analytics (Statistical Modeling) from Northeastern University, Toronto, Canada (2025), and an M.Sc. in Statistics from Ekiti State University, Nigeria (2021). Prior to joining Georgia State University, I served as an Assistant Lecturer in the Department of Statistics at Ekiti State University, where I taught undergraduate courses and supervised more than 40 student research projects. I also hold a B.Sc. in Statistics from the same institution (2016). I am an ASA-accredited Graduate Statistician (GStat) and a Fellow of the Commonwealth Academy of Leadership and Management (FCALM), UK.

My long-term research goal is to develop innovative statistical methodologies that integrate flexible lifetime models, empirical likelihood methods, Bayesian inference, and PROEL approaches for censored and time-to-event data to address methodological challenges in biomedical and public health research.

Research Interests

Biostatistics
Survival Analysis
Lifetime Data Modeling
Empirical Likelihood
Goodness-of-Fit Testing
Bayesian Inference
Statistical Methodology
Biomedical Applications
Statistical Computing

Quick Facts

InstitutionGeorgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA
ProgramM.S. Applied Statistics, Biostatistics Concentration
GStatGraduate Statistician, American Statistical Association, June 2026 – May 2033
FellowshipFCALM, Commonwealth Academy of Leadership & Management, UK (2025)
ThesisQTEG Distribution: Distribution Theory, Empirical Likelihood Inference, and Goodness-of-Fit Testing

Academic Roles at Georgia State University

Graduate Teaching Assistant (GTA)
Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA
Jan 2026 — Present

Provides academic support to undergraduate students enrolled in College Algebra (MILE Programme). Assists with conceptual understanding, problem-solving strategies, and exam preparation in a structured learning environment.

Graduate Research Assistant (GRA)
Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA
Jan 2026 — Present

Conducts methodological research under Prof. Yichuan Zhao on survival analysis, lifetime data modeling, empirical likelihood, goodness-of-fit testing, Bayesian inference, and PROEL-based semiparametric methods for censored biomedical data.

Research

My current work follows a five-stage methodological program: QTEG model development, empirical likelihood inference, goodness-of-fit validation, Bayesian extension, and PROEL-based quantile difference inference for censored survival data.

Stage 01
QTEG Development
Quadratic-transformed exponential-gamma model for flexible lifetime and biomedical survival data.
Under Review
Stage 02
Empirical Likelihood
JEL and AJEL methods for likelihood-free inference on QTEG parameters and survival probabilities.
In Progress
Stage 03
Goodness-of-Fit
Empirical likelihood-based model validation and finite-sample calibration for flexible lifetime models.
In Preparation
Stage 04
Bayesian Inference
Bayesian estimation, uncertainty quantification, and prior sensitivity analysis for flexible lifetime models.
Manuscript Development
Stage 05
PROEL Quantile Difference
Profiled and Plug-in Residual Empirical Likelihood methods for quantile differences under stratified Cox models.
Ongoing
Stage 01 • Model Development

QTEG Distribution Development

Develops the Quadratic-Transformed Exponential-Gamma (QTEG) distribution as a flexible lifetime model for skewed and heavy-tailed survival data, with applications in biomedical and reliability studies.

Stage 02 • Empirical Likelihood

Likelihood-Free Inference for QTEG Models

Develops jackknife empirical likelihood and adjusted jackknife empirical likelihood methods for QTEG parameter inference and survival probabilities, targeting improved small-sample calibration.

Stage 03 • Model Validation

Goodness-of-Fit Testing for QTEG

Develops empirical likelihood-based goodness-of-fit procedures for validating flexible lifetime models, including small-sample calibration and applications to biomedical and reliability data.

Stage 04 • Bayesian Inference

Bayesian Methods for Flexible Lifetime Models

Develops and evaluates Bayesian inference methods for QTEG and related lifetime models, including posterior estimation, uncertainty quantification, and prior sensitivity analysis for biomedical survival data.

Stage 05 • Semiparametric Survival

Statistical Methodology for Quantile Difference Estimation

Develops Profiled and Plug-in Residual Empirical Likelihood (PROEL) methods for quantile difference estimation, confidence intervals, and confidence bands under stratified Cox models.

Applied Biostatistics • Live App

PredictRisk: Cardiovascular Risk

Constructs Bayesian predictive models for six cardiovascular conditions using PyMC and MCMC, deployed as an interactive clinical decision-support application incorporating uncertainty quantification.

Launch App

Publications

A selection of publications is listed below. For a complete list, visit my Google Scholar or ResearchGate profile.

Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
Agbona, A.A., Odukoya, E.A., Amalare, A., & Ayeni, T.M.
Exponential-Gamma-Rayleigh Distribution: Theory and Properties
Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 27(3), 134–144 (2025)
doi.org/10.9734/ajpas/2025/v27i3730
Adeyiola, I.A., Ayeni, T.M., & Odukoya, E.A.
Sentiment Analysis Using Healthcare Data
International Journal of Science and Research Archive, 13(2), 3143–3148 (2024)
doi.org/10.30574/ijsra.2024.13.2.2476
Faweya, O., Akinyemi, O., Ayeni, T.M., & Tanimowo, M.O.
Comparative Analysis on the Rate of Sexually Transmitted Diseases in Ekiti State
International Journal of Research Publication and Reviews, 4(4), 1693–1702 (2023)
doi.org/10.55248/gengpi.2023.4.4.34559
Faweya, O., Akinyemi, O., Ajayi, E.D., & Ayeni, T.M.
Statistical Study of Rainfall Patterns in Ondo State, Nigeria
International Journal of Novel Research in Physics Chemistry & Mathematics, 10(2), 37–42 (2023)
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8154921
Ayeni, T.M., Adeyiola, I.A., & Odukoya, E.A.
Rayleigh-Exponential-Gamma Distribution: Theory and Properties
International Journal of Research Publication and Reviews, 4(8), 33–39 (2023)
doi.org/10.55248/gengpi.4.823.48497
Manuscripts Under Review
Ayeni, T.M., Odukoya, E.A., & Zhao, Y.
Quadratic Functional Variable Transformation of the Exponential-Gamma Distribution for Flexible Lifetime Modelling Under Review
Statistical Papers (2026)
Manuscripts in Preparation
Ayeni, T.M. & Zhao, Y.
Empirical Likelihood Inference for Skewed Lifetime Models: A Jackknife Approach for the QTEG Distribution In Preparation
Ayeni, T.M. & Zhao, Y.
A Characterisation-Based Jackknife Empirical Likelihood Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Quadratic-Transformed Exponential-Gamma Distribution In Preparation

Academic Service

Peer Reviewer
View Profile
Journals Reviewed For
Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics International Journal of Plant & Soil Science International Journal of Environment and Climate Change Asian Journal of Research in Agriculture and Forestry Asian Journal of Geographical Research Current Research on Geography, Earth Science and Environment Annual Research & Review in Biology Asian Journal of Advances in Agricultural Research Asian Research Journal of Mathematics Plant Cell Biotechnology and Molecular Biology
Peer Reviewer
Scientific African · Elsevier · June 2026
ORCID Profile
Journals Reviewed For
Scientific African

Awards & Honors

Professional Accreditation

2026
Graduate Statistician (GStat)
American Statistical Association · Accredited June 17, 2026 – May 31, 2033 · View Accredited Members Roster
Certificate

Awards & Honors

2026
Student Poster Competition Award — Cash Prize
61st Annual SRCOS Summer Research Conference · Southern Regional Council on Statistics · Pensacola Beach, FL · June 7–10, 2026
Certificate
2026
Student Poster Competition Award — Cash Prize
11th Workshop on Biostatistics and Bioinformatics · ASA Georgia Chapter · May 8–10, 2026
Certificate
2025
Fellow, Commonwealth Academy of Leadership and Management (FCALM)
Commonwealth Academy of Leadership & Management, United Kingdom — FCALM.0320.25
2024
Best Innovator in Applied Statistics
Crest Africa Awards — Presented by Dr. Ruth Njoroge, Executive Director
2021
Best Graduating Master's Student
Department of Statistics, Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria

Presentations

2026
Quadratic Functional Variable Transformation of the Exponential-Gamma Distribution
2026 NISS Virtual New Researchers Conference · National Institute of Statistical Sciences · Online · June 5, 2026
Oral Presentation · Session 2: Biostatistics & Biomedical Applications
Slides Conference Agenda Certificate of Participation
2026
Quadratic Transformation of the Exponential–Gamma Distribution for Flexible Lifetime Modelling
61st Annual SRCOS Summer Research Conference · Southern Regional Council on Statistics · Pensacola Beach, FL · June 7–10, 2026
Poster Presentation · Poster Session, June 8, 2026 · ★ Student Poster Award — Cash Prize
Poster Program Book Award Certificate
2026
Quadratic Transformation of the Exponential–Gamma Distribution for Flexible Lifetime Modelling
Modeling the Invisible Workshop 2026 · Atlanta, GA · June 3–4, 2026
Poster Presentation
Poster Workshop Schedule
2026
Quadratic Transformation of the Exponential–Gamma Distribution for Flexible Lifetime Modelling
11th Workshop on Biostatistics and Bioinformatics · ASA Georgia Chapter · Dean's Meeting Center, 26th Floor & College of Arts and Sciences Event Center, 2nd Floor, 25 Park Place, Atlanta, GA 30303, Georgia State University · May 8–10, 2026
Poster Presentation · ★ Student Poster Award — Cash Prize
Poster Award Certificate
2026
The QTEG Distribution and Its Empirical Likelihood Extension for Survival Analysis
End of the Year Celebration, Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Georgia State University · 25 Park Place, Room 223, Atlanta, GA, USA · April 10, 2026
Oral Presentation · 9:30–10:30 AM, Research Talks by Graduate Students
Slides (9 slides) Event Program
2025
Comparative Evaluation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Three-Class Diabetes Classification Using NHANES Data
9th International Conference, Professional Statisticians' Society of Nigeria (PSSN) · Federal Polytechnic, Ado-Ekiti & Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti, Nigeria · August 4–7, 2025
Oral Presentation · Book of Abstracts: Advancing Statistical Literacy in AI Applications: Nigeria’s Strategy for Digital Transformation
Slides (14 slides) Conference Flyer Book of Abstracts
2025
WorkWell AI: Predictive Wellness and Mental Health Monitoring
Northeastern University Pitch Summit
Research Demonstration
Slides (12 slides)

Media Coverage

Selected media coverage of research and professional recognition.

CV

Full academic CV including education, publications, presentations, teaching experience, and technical skills. View: Curriculum Vitae

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